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DOGEUSD short — 5 Nov 2026 (stopped out)

This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.071032 and stopped out at 0.07245 after 1 hours, closing at -2.00%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionshort
Issued (UTC)2026-11-05 23:38
Entry0.071032
Stop-loss0.07242
Take-profit 10.070101
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.06948
Reward:risk at entry1.12
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.07245
Realized P&L-2.00%
Time open1 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 39.1 slope +3.9 (strong trend strengthening hard), choppiness 28.1 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.66 clean one-way, Hurst 0.34 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a genuine, accelerating bear impulse (net -8% 24h, -2.3% 4h). 2. LEAN CHECK: short — momentum, trend, and OI all point down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short with full MTF bear stack, accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -2.28, oi_change_recent_half -6.16%, agg_oi_24h -9.2%), taker ratio 0.94 (selling), funding z +1.25 longs still crowded — longs being unwound into weakness, classic bear continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 25.6 deeply oversold and z_score -2.65 at 5d/20d lows — a mean-revert bounce could trigger as top-traders remain stubbornly long (pos ratio 2.97) providing contrarian fade fuel. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.071032; stop above recent swing/invalidation at 0.072420 (~1.95% = ~0.8x atr-based range given 1h atr 1.26%); stretch target 0.069480 (~2.19%, R:R ~1.12, inside 1.5x and 4% clamps) at the measured-move continuation level. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but oversold raises bounce/expire risk.

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