ETHUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,954.9 and stopped out at 1,919 after 15.4 hours, closing at -1.84%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 23:18 |
| Entry | 1,954.9 |
| Stop-loss | 1,919 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,985.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,006 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.42 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 1,919 |
| Realized P&L | -1.84% |
| Time open | 15.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF 4/4, 1h ADX 46.7 rising (+8.2 slope), choppiness 23.7, ER-10 0.85 — a clean, strengthening bull_trend, funding mildly positive but z negative (unwinding, not crowded). 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans clearly long — trend, flow and momentum all point up; the only caution is stretch (RSI 88 on 1h, z-score +2.21, at 5d/20d/90d highs). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long with confirming flow — OI accelerating_up (5m z +2.94, 15m z +3.02), top-trader pos ratio 1.29 and account ratio 1.53 (longs favored), taker 1.44 latest, net +2.17% 4h/+4.33% 24h; funding still deeply un-crowded (z -0.51) leaves room to run. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 88 and z +2.21 at fresh highs mean an overbought mean-reversion flush could snap back hard before continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 1954.90; stop below the intraday breakout base ~1919 (below 4h ATR ~1.1% cushion, beyond the fast-money unwind zone), giving ~35.9 risk; stretch TP at 2006 (~1.31x risk, structural round extension reachable given 24h avg traversal 1.39% and net +4.3% momentum). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but overbought stretch caps the edge — modest expire share given tight vol.
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