ETHUSD long — 17 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,901 and hit its target at 1,916.3 after 20.6 hours, closing at +0.80%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-17 02:58 |
| Entry | 1,901 |
| Stop-loss | 1,878.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,916.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,926.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 1,916.3 |
| Realized P&L | +0.80% |
| Time open | 20.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (2/4 — 5m/15m bull-aligned, 1h/4h EMA mixed), ADX_1h 24 slope +1.5 (marginal trend, strengthening), Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting), choppiness 40, ER-10 0.30, HMM calm, F&G 31 Fear — a low-vol chop with a fresh upward impulse and building trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — freshest momentum net +1.39% 4h, taker 1.15 buy-skewed, OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +4.9, oi_15m_z +3.5, momentum accelerating_up), top-traders net long (pos 1.39, account 1.93). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is aggressively building on an up-move (accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +4.9) with taker buys, top-traders positioned long and short-TF EMAs bull-aligned — fresh momentum in the trend direction. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 5m/15m/1h (71-75) with Hurst 0.35 mean-reverting — a pullback to unwind the overbought pop invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 1901.02; stop below the fresh-impulse base at 1878.5 (~1.18% below, inside rv_24h ~20 daily range); TP stretch 1926.5 (~1.34% up, R:R ~1.13), a reach toward the 5d-high zone (-0.71% is ~1914.5) with room beyond. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought + mean-reverting Hurst caps upside; poor 46% ETH track record and chop-regime loss cluster argue caution.
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