ETHUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,378.5 and hit its target at 2,410.6 after 1.2 hours, closing at +1.35%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 07:26 |
| Entry | 2,378.5 |
| Stop-loss | 2,342 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,410.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,432 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.47 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,410.6 |
| Realized P&L | +1.35% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 61.8 with slope +0.66 (extremely strong trend, still strengthening), choppiness 48.6, ER-10 0.57 / ER-30 0.34, Hurst 0.66 trending, HMM calm high-conf — a powerful +5.6% 24h bull impulse with the trend still building. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend fully aligned, OI accelerating_up (agg +6.1%, oi_5m_z +2.18), taker 1h 1.20 buy-tilted, top-trader pos ratio 1.56 long, ETF eth +$219.5M inflow. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 EMA stacks with rising ADX and accelerating_up OI is textbook trend continuation, corroborated by buy-side taker flow and long top-trader positioning. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 74 (1h) / 94 (4h) overbought, rolling z +2.69, RV at 79.6th pctile, funding_z 1.65 crowded-long — extension risk means a sharp mean-revert pullback would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent intraday shelf at 2,342 (~1.5% / ~0.7x atr-based 24h range, beyond the invalidation of a momentum stall); stretch target 2,432 (~2.3% up, R:R ~1.5, inside the 4% clamp) at a structural continuation level reachable given 24h avg traversal ~2.97%. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended, so meaningful pullback and expire risk — p_tp1 48, p_sl 33, p_expire 19.
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