ETHUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,498.6 and hit its target at 2,530.6 after 16.7 hours, closing at +1.28%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-03 16:03 |
| Entry | 2,498.6 |
| Stop-loss | 2,456.9 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,530.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,551.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,530.6 |
| Realized P&L | +1.28% |
| Time open | 16.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (5m/15m/4h bull EMA, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 25.8 slope +6.2 (trend strengthening), ADX-20 22.7, ER-10 0.54/ER-30 0.40, choppiness 30.3 (trending), Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting long-run), HMM calm 0.999 — a HTF-bull structure on a fresh, efficient upside impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net moves all positive (+3.09% 4h, +3.73% 12h, +4.69% 24h), OI accelerating_up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_5m_z +4.13/15m_z +4.24 (accelerating_up), agg OI +3.48%, taker 1.02 with recent buy-heavy prints, top-trader pos ratio 1.65 (heavy long), funding building (z +1.04, momentum +1.05) — new money leaning long into a strengthening 1h trend, trend-aligned with the 4h/5m/15m bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 15m/1h RSI overbought (72/72) and RV in 91st pctile — an exhaustion fade back below the 5d-high (only -1.23% away) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2498.55; stop 2456.90 below the recent impulse base / prior consolidation (~1.67% risk, within ~0.7x the 24h rv-range); stretch TP 2551.90 at/above the 5d-high resistance retest, ~2.13% up, R:R ~1.28 inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum + OI favor continuation but overbought and near-resistance temper it.
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