DOGEUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.088722 and stopped out at 0.08635 after 20.4 hours, closing at -2.67%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-03 16:03 |
| Entry | 0.088722 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08635 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.090497 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09168 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08635 |
| Realized P&L | -2.67% |
| Time open | 20.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 26.3 slope +9.9 (trend firming hard), ER-10 0.68 / ER-30 0.52 / choppiness 28.0 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting path), HMM calm 99.96% — a fresh clean upside impulse breaking out of chop, mirroring the winning prior-long setups. 2. LEAN CHECK: strongly one-sided long — net +5.8%/4h, +6.8%/12h, +8.8%/24h, OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +3.75, oi_15m_z +3.80), top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.31), price at 5d/20d/90d high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI+flow cluster — accelerating_up OI with a strong 24h impulse and top-traders 3.3x long confirms trend-aligned continuation, exactly the profile that produced the recent +1.77/+1.69/+1.61% wins. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across 15m/1h/4h (77-79) and rolling z +1.60 at extrema — a sharp mean-reversion pullback (Hurst 0.37) would invalidate; taker ratio 0.98 (slightly under 1) hints buying is not accelerating. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.088722; stop below the recent breakout shelf at 0.086350 (~2.67% risk, within the ~5% ADR / 110% RV vol regime); stretch TP 0.091680 (~3.33% ≈ 1.25x stop distance, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h traversal ~2% but current impulse running hot). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum-aligned but overbought and vol-extended, so meaningful expire risk.
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