ETHUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,478 and hit its target at 2,500.2 after 14 minutes, closing at +0.90%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-03 14:48 |
| Entry | 2,478 |
| Stop-loss | 2,447.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,500.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,515 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,500.2 |
| Realized P&L | +0.90% |
| Time open | 14 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/4h bull EMA, 1h bear), 1h ADX 21.3 slope +0.54 (mild strengthening), ADX-20 21.0, ER-10 0.59/ER-30 0.30, choppiness 35.4 (nominally trending), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a HTF-bull structure being pushed higher on a fresh impulse with a sharp +3.35% 4h thrust. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — net moves all positive (+3.35% 4h, +2.95% 12h, +3.45% 24h), OI building (oi_5m_z +1.81, agg_oi +2.76%) alongside rising price, taker 1.06 buy-tilted, top-trader pos ratio 1.62 long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum + OI-building cluster is dominant — fresh 4h thrust with expanding OI and a long-tilted top-trader book confirms real buyers, trend-aligned with 4h/lower-TF bull stacks. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RV in 76th pctile and 5m/15m RSI 81-83 (deeply overbought) means this leg is extended — a rejection off the 5d high (only -2.07% away) would flush the late longs and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 2447.5 below the intraday pullback shelf (invalidates the impulse, ~1.23% risk, within rv range); take_profit_1 2515.0 at a push toward the 5d high (~1.49% reward, ~1.2x R:R, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought extension caps upside odds; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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