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SOLUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (hit target)

This long on SOLUSD entered at 102.88 and hit its target at 104.632 after 36 minutes, closing at +1.70%.

AssetSOLUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-03 14:33
Entry102.88
Stop-loss100.55
Take-profit 1104.632
Take-profit 2 (stretch)105.8
Reward:risk at entry1.25
Outcomehit its target
Close price104.632
Realized P&L+1.70%
Time open36 minutes

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m/4h bull EMA, 1h mixed), 1h ADX 18.3 slope +3.0 rising, ER10 0.44 / ER30 0.28, choppiness 48.9, Hurst 0.60, HMM calm 0.9999 — a low-ADX transitional tape with a firm recovery bid and mildly strengthening trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — price +3.7% 24h, net +2.4% 4h, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 2.05, acct 2.24), fear/greed 65 Greed. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 3-of-4 TFs bull-EMA stacked with rising ADX, positive net moves across 4h/12h/24h, and top-trader positioning strongly long; SOL riding the crypto-beta recovery (BTC corr +0.89). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI 70-77 overbought and last taker ratio 0.79 (sellers stepping in) plus accelerating_down OI momentum — a rejection at the 5d-high (only -3.96% away) would flip this to a fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 102.88, stop 100.55 below the 1h swing/recovery base (~2.3% risk, within rv_24h 51% daily terms), TP1 stretch 105.80 (~2.8% up, RR ~1.25) toward the 5d-high cluster near 107. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought short-TF and rising OI unwind risk cap this; p_tp1 44 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 22.

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