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ETHUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,570.3 and stopped out at 2,528 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.64%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 15:57 |
| Entry | 2,570.3 |
| Stop-loss | 2,528 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,603.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,626 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,528 |
| Realized P&L | -1.64% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 27.1 slope +8.8 (strengthening hard), ADX-20 20.7, choppiness 29.8 (trending), ER-10 0.34 (modest cleanliness), Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting caveat), HMM calm 0.999 — a firm, accelerating bull_trend with +5.3% on 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, OI accel, and macro/positioning all tilt up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + OI/flow confluence — full bull EMA stack across all 4 TFs, ADX rising +8.8, oi_momentum accelerating_up with oi_5m_z +2.45 and +7% OI/24h, top-trader pos ratio 1.17 (longs) — real money adding into the leg. 4. PRE-MORTEM: z_score +2.29 (stretched vs 20d mean), Hurst 0.35 mean-reverting, and 1h taker ratio 0.93 (sellers into strength) plus RV at 100th pctile signal exhaustion — a rejection at the 5d/20d/90d high (-2.65% overhead) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2570.27; stop below the recent consolidation shelf at 2528 (~1.64% risk, ~0.9x rv/atr band); stretch TP at 2626 (~2.17% up, ~1.3x risk) toward the 5d high zone, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched/mean-reverting caveat and seller taker tilt cap p_tp1.
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