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AAVEUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 126.65 and stopped out at 123.85 after 2.1 hours, closing at -2.21%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 15:57 |
| Entry | 126.65 |
| Stop-loss | 123.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 128.78 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 130.2 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 123.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.21% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf 0/4 mixed — 5m bull-aligned, 1h bear-aligned, 15m/4h mixed; 1h ADX 37.4 but slope fading (-1.23), ER-10 0.21 / ER-30 0.10 / choppiness 39.6 / Hurst 0.45 flag AAVE's classic net-nowhere mean-reverting chop, HMM calm 0.999. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — net_move_4h +3.01% / 12h +3.12% / 24h +2.95% show fresh upside thrust, OI accelerating_up with 24h agg OI +16.6%, price bounced +4.26% off 5d/20d/90d lows. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI-backed momentum cluster — oi_momentum accelerating_up, oi_5m_z +0.66, top_trader_pos_ratio 2.25 heavily long, taker 0.79 is a mild pullback within an up-thrust; the same-regime chop-long playbook on AAVE has won 3 of last 5 with +3% pops. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the last taker prints (0.77, 0.59, 0.81, 0.75) show selling pressure into the pop — if buyers fail to reclaim and price rolls back under ~124, the mean-reverting Hurst 0.45 chop drags it back to the 5d low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 126.65, stop below the recent swing/reclaim at 123.85 (~2.2% risk, within rv range); stretch TP at 130.20 (~2.8% / ~1.27x risk), a structural reach toward the 5d-high zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop-with-thrust — reachable but reversion-prone.
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