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ETHUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,539.1 and hit its target at 2,563.9 after 1.6 hours, closing at +0.98%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| Entry | 2,539.1 |
| Stop-loss | 2,506.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,563.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,580.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.27 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,563.9 |
| Realized P&L | +0.98% |
| Time open | 1.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull EMA stack) but 1h ADX 16.2 / ADX-20 12.2 (weak trend), ER-10 0.31 / ER-30 0.30 (low efficiency), choppiness 57 (neutral-choppy), Hurst 0.25 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a bull-tilted but low-conviction drift, +1.52% 4h / +1.19% 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: long — every EMA stack aligns bull, OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +1.92, momentum accelerating_up), top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.23), fresh +1.5% 4h push. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full_bullish MTF alignment plus accelerating OI into a rising move and top-trader long tilt is the strongest cluster; ETH is also 14x its 7d avg ETF flow velocity (fresh demand). 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 0.966 (<1, mild selling) and z_score +1.58 / RSI 62-65 suggest extension — a rejection back under ~2515 (the recent consolidation floor) breaks the drift. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2539.09; stop 2506.5 (below the intraday shelf and beyond invalidation, ~1.28% risk, well inside the 3.7% 7d range and ~0.9x atr context); stretch TP 2580.5 (~1.63% / structural push toward 5d high area at -3.4%), R:R ~1.27, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: weak ADX + choppy path caps follow-through, so meaningful p_expire.
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