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HYPEUSD long — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 81.41 and stopped out at 79.55 after 8.9 hours, closing at -2.28%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 18:09 |
| Entry | 81.41 |
| Stop-loss | 79.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 82.814 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 83.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 79.55 |
| Realized P&L | -2.28% |
| Time open | 8.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m EMA bull_aligned, 1h/4h mixed (alignment 2/4), 1h ADX 16.7 slope +1.4, ER-10 0.41/ER-30 0.30, choppiness 60.8 (edge of chop), Hurst 0.44 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a soft, chop-tinged upward drift with fast-TF bull tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — fresh net_4h +1.99%/net_24h +3.68%, taker 1h 1.15 buyers, taker history ending on 1.09/1.15, OI up 1.67% with oi_5m/15m z-scores +1.04/+1.13 (fresh OI building into an up-move), top-trader pos ratio 1.86 heavily long, funding mildly positive. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — buyers dominant on takers, fresh OI stacking (z +1.13) alongside a positive net move, aligned with the fast-TF bull EMA stack; this is a momentum-with-flow long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: oi_momentum_state reads accelerating_down and oi_change_recent_half -0.32%, plus HYPE's recurring edge is FADING up-drifts into chop (three winning shorts) — a stall and rollover back under the 5d structure invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 81.41; stop below the recent consolidation shelf at 79.55 (~2.28% risk, within rv/atr range); stretch TP at 83.75 (~2.87%, R:R ~1.26x) toward the 5d high (-4.48% = ~85.2 sits beyond a realistic 24h span, so target inside it). 6. EXPECTATION: given chop regime and HYPE's fade-the-rip history, keep it humble.
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