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ETHUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,723.7 and stopped out at 2,678.5 after 2.4 hours, closing at -1.66%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 11:38 |
| Entry | 2,723.7 |
| Stop-loss | 2,678.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,756.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,778.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,678.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.66% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/15m/5m EMAs bull-aligned but 1h mixed (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 17 slope +4.3 (weak but firming), ER-10 0.46 / ER-30 0.16, choppiness 44 (mid), Hurst 0.60, HMM calm 1.0 — a stalling-but-recovering tape with a fresh upward push. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net_move +1.97% 4h / +2.91% 24h, price +2.99% on the day, ADX slope turning up, top-traders long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.77, agg_oi +2.89%, oi_momentum accelerating_up) alongside a positive 4h net move and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.57 rising — fresh long positioning fueling an aligned push with the 4h/15m/5m bull EMA stack; funding still mild (agg_funding_z -0.12) so not crowded. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits only -2.13% under the 5d/20d/90d high — rejection there stalls the move and the transitional 1h chop resumes into a fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 2723.66; stop below the recent 4h consolidation shelf at 2678.5 (~1.66% risk, within rv_24h/atr scale); stretch target 2778.5 toward the 5d/20d/90d high cluster (~2.01% reward, R:R ~1.2, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: greed regime, firming trend but resistance overhead and choppy history — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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