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DOGEUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.098176 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 0.09789 with a price move of -0.29%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-25 11:38 |
| Entry | 0.098176 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09528 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.10002 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.10125 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.06 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 0.09789 |
| Realized P&L | -0.29% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF alignment (4/4, all EMA stacks bull), 1h ADX 23.2 slope +3.1 (genuine trend firming), ER-10 0.48 (moderately clean recent path), choppiness 45.9 neutral, Hurst 0.62 persistent, HMM calm 99.9% — an intact, re-firming bull trend up +5.8% 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, positioning, and OI build all point up; no coherent short case. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: three confirming clusters — (a) full_bullish HTF alignment with rising ADX, (b) OI build +5.2% 24h with strong z (+2.7) confirming money entering behind the +5.8% move, (c) top-trader position ratio 4.26 heavily long; trend-aligned continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 0.92 (sub-1, sellers slightly dominant last hour) and OI momentum decelerating — if buy flow doesn't refresh, price stalls at the 5d-high resistance just 5.7% overhead and rolls back. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 0.098176; stop below the recent intraday structure/reclaim base at 0.09528 (~2.95% risk, ~0.5x the 7d daily range, sane for rv_24h 61); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.10125 (~3.13% up, R:R ~1.06, inside 4% clamp) targeting a push toward the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with fresh OI, but decelerating flow and overhead resistance temper — p_tp1 45 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 21.
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