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ETHUSD long — 2 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,718.4 and hit its target at 2,741.3 after 1.4 hours, closing at +0.84%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 03:05 |
| Entry | 2,718.4 |
| Stop-loss | 2,688 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,741.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,756.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,741.3 |
| Realized P&L | +0.84% |
| Time open | 1.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: EMA stack full_bullish 4/4 across 5m/15m/1h/4h, but 1h ADX only 12.7 (ADX-20 9.1), ER-30 0.17, choppiness 54, Hurst 0.28 (mean-reverting) and regime labeled chop_high_vol — a bullish-tilted but low-conviction chop, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — EMA stack is unanimously bullish, OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.5, agg_oi +1.4%), taker 1.25 buy-heavy, top-trader pos ratio 1.50, net_move_24h +0.86% — flow and structure both tilt up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — the strongest cluster is positioning/flow: accelerating OI with buy-side takers and top-traders net long 1.50 confirming a bid, backed by full bullish EMA stack; this is a continuation lean within the up-channel. 4. PRE-MORTEM: Hurst 0.28 + ER-30 0.17 flag mean-reversion; price is +1.26 z-score and only -0.63% from 5d high — a rejection at the high and reversion to the 1h EMAs invalidates. Note this asset's own 30d WR is weakest (53.6%) and recent longs in this exact regime all lost on SL. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2718.44; stop below the recent impulse base / 1h EMA cluster at 2688.0 (~1.12% ≈ ~0.9x rv_24h intraday range); stretch TP at 2756.5 (~1.4%, RR ~1.25, inside clamps) targeting a push toward the 5d high region. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime + weak track record caps upside; p_tp1 44, p_sl 41, p_expire 15.
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