Home › Signals › October 2026 › PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD long — 2 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on PAXGUSD entered at 4,180.7 and hit its target at 4,198.6 after 3 hours, closing at +0.43%.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-02 03:05 |
| Entry | 4,180.7 |
| Stop-loss | 4,157 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,198.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,210.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 4,198.6 |
| Realized P&L | +0.43% |
| Time open | 3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (all TFs bear-aligned EMA stacks), but 1h ADX 12.3 / ADX-20 9.96 (sub-15 chop), choppiness 54.5 neutral, ER-10 0.059 / ER-30 0.057 (utterly noisy nowhere-path), Hurst 0.56 mild-persistent, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm low-vol gold tape with a clean bearish EMA stack but no trend strength to push it. 2. LEAN CHECK: genuinely two-sided tug — the bearish EMA stack and z_score -0.85 (stretched below 20d mean, mean-reversion case for a bounce) point opposite directions, while gold spot is flat +0.17%/24h and taker_buy_sell 1.34 with recent hourly bursts (2.13, 1.86) tilt mild buy; the counterweight is top_trader_pos_ratio 3.02 very long and oi accelerating_up but 4h pos-ratio change slightly negative. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: thin LONG lean — price sits at the lower end (z -0.85, +1.37% off 20d/90d low), gold spot green, buyers dominate recent takers (1.34 now, 2.13/1.86 in the last few hours), funding_z -2.08 deeply negative (shorts paying, squeeze fuel), and top traders heavily long — the mean-reversion-up case overrides a stalled sub-15-ADX bear EMA stack that has no directional energy. 4. PRE-MORTEM: if gold spot rolls over and the 4h bear EMA stack reasserts with ADX turning up, price breaks the 5d low and the mean-reversion fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4180.69; stop below recent swing/invalidation at 4157.0 (~0.57% risk, inside the 1.37x avg daily range ~1.36% so comfortably within 24h traversal); stretch TP 4210.5 (~0.71% reward, R:R ~1.26, inside clamps) at the prior intraday structure above. 6. EXPECTATION: calm chop, modest edge — p_tp1 42, p_sl 34, p_expire 24.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.