ETHUSD short — 11 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 1,857.8 and stopped out at 1,873.8 after 4.1 hours, closing at -0.86%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-11 15:41 |
| Entry | 1,857.8 |
| Stop-loss | 1,873.8 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,848 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,841.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 1,873.8 |
| Realized P&L | -0.86% |
| Time open | 4.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed (5m/1h/4h EMA all mixed, only 15m bear_aligned), ADX_1h 27.4 but slope -1.43 (fading), Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), choppiness 39 (borderline-trending), ER-10 0.27, HMM calm, F&G 29 Fear — a fading downtrend with fresh downward impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — net -1.82% over last 4h is the freshest momentum, taker ratio 0.855 sell-skewed, OI accelerating_down (5m z -4.79). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: freshest 4h momentum is decidedly down and OI is collapsing (oi_5m_z -4.79, accelerating_down, agg_oi -1.53%) as price bleeds — a short-side flow confirmation that matches this asset's two winning-short reasoning template; prior ETHUSD shorts on this exact fading-chop-with-fresh-down-impulse pattern won twice. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold across 5m/15m (24-26) and price sitting exactly on 5d/20d/90d low (+0.00%) with z-score -1.44 — a reclaim bounce off the low invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above recent intraday structure at 1874.5 (dist ~0.90%, ~0.85x atr_pct_1h scaled to 24h span); take_profit_1 stretch at 1841.5 (dist ~0.87%, R:R ~0.97 — nudge stop tighter), set stop 1873.8 for R:R ~1.0 toward a break of the low. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-at-low tempers downside continuation, so meaningful expire and bounce risk.
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