SOLUSD short — 11 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 75.3804 and stopped out at 76.55 after 6.6 hours, closing at -1.55%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-11 15:26 |
| Entry | 75.3804 |
| Stop-loss | 76.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 74.5522 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 74 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 76.55 |
| Realized P&L | -1.55% |
| Time open | 6.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 — 5m/15m EMA stacks bear-aligned, 1h/4h mixed; ADX_1h 26.6 rising (+1.67 slope), choppiness 53, ER10/30 ~0.18 (noisy/nets nowhere), Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a bear-tilted transitional/choppy tape with weak directionality. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is down (net -1.08% 4h, -0.91% 12h, -0.76% 24h), taker 0.75 (sell-heavy latest), 5m/15m bear-stacked — the short side has the modest edge. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh 4h downward push with sell-heavy taker flow (0.75) and low-timeframe bear alignment, trend-aligned on the fast frames; long liq share 0.9957 shows longs getting flushed. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio 1.63 long and account ratio 2.48 long with rising OI (accelerating_up, agg OI +0.76%) — if smart-money longs hold and price reclaims ~76.3, the down-lean fails and mean-reversion snaps up (Hurst 0.43). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.38, stop above the recent 4h swing / reclaim zone at 76.55 (~1.55% risk, within RV band); stretch target down at 74.00 (~1.83% reward, R:R ~1.18) toward the 5d-low retest area. 6. EXPECTATION: chop + mean-revert risk against a modest short lean means meaningful expire probability.
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