ETHUSD short — 1 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,415.1 and hit its target at 2,392.5 after 36 minutes, closing at +0.93%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-01 18:03 |
| Entry | 2,415.1 |
| Stop-loss | 2,452.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,392.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,377.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,392.5 |
| Realized P&L | +0.93% |
| Time open | 36 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/1h bear EMA, 4h still bull), 1h ADX 19.7 slope +3.9 (strengthening), ADX-20 14, ER-10 0.49/ER-30 0.16, choppiness 47.8, Hurst 0.35 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a HTF-bull structure being sold with fresh downside momentum building on the lower TFs. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — net moves down (-1.33% 4h, -2.23% 12h, -2.46% 24h), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -2.9, agg_oi -4.1%), funding unwinding (funding_z -1.25, momentum -1.98). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI bleeding hard while price falls (long liquidation/deleveraging), aggregated funding negative and unwinding, latest taker ratio 0.57 (heavy sell) — all trend-aligned with near-term bear EMA stack and rising 1h ADX. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 29, 15m 28, 1h 32) + z-score -1.92 + top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.61) — a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low (only +0.36% away) would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2415.11; stop above the recent 4h swing/reclaim at 2452.5 (~1.55% risk, within rv range); TP at 2377.5 structural extension toward the 5d low zone (~1.56% reward, R:R ~1.0, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum down but oversold + nearby support caps follow-through, so meaningful bounce risk.
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