ETHUSD short — 8 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,451.4 and stopped out at 2,489.5 after 1.2 hours, closing at -1.55%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 13:48 |
| Entry | 2,451.4 |
| Stop-loss | 2,489.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,425.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,408 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,489.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.55% |
| Time open | 1.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment "mixed" (5m/15m bear EMA, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 12.9 slope +0.98 (weak/barely rising), ADX-20 10.5, ER-10 0.40/ER-30 0.15, choppiness 45.1, Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a low-ADX chop tape with a fresh short-frame bear tilt. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a modest short lean survives — all net moves negative (-1.56% 4h, -2.05% 12h, -1.84% 24h), OI accelerating_down with oi z-scores ~-1.0, taker ratio 0.91 (sell tilt), RSI 32 on 5m/15m. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum cluster (net moves all red + oi accelerating_down + sub-1 taker ratio) points short, aligned with the near-frame bear EMA stack; this is a downside drift within chop rather than a strong trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply negative funding z (-1.88) plus top-traders long (pos ratio 1.51) and 4h bull EMA mean a squeeze/reclaim of ~2480 would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 2451.45; stop above recent structure/24h range at 2489.5 (~1.55% ~0.4x rv_24h); target down at 2408 (~1.77%), inside clamps, reward:risk ~1.14. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a soft downside drift and counter-signals — modest edge, meaningful expire probability.
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