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ETHUSD short — 10 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,422.5 and stopped out at 2,461 after 4.7 hours, closing at -1.59%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-10 12:48 |
| Entry | 2,422.5 |
| Stop-loss | 2,461 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,389.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,367 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.44 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,461 |
| Realized P&L | -1.59% |
| Time open | 4.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear-aligned, 1h mixed, 4h still bull), 1h ADX 22.9 slope +4.3 (strengthening off a real base), ER-10 0.79 (clean short-frame directional move), choppiness 40.4 (edge of trending), Hurst 0.45, HMM calm — a fresh down-leg firming inside a calm tape, price -3.5% on 24h. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean survives — all net moves negative (-1.96% 4h, -1.71% 12h, -3.54% 24h), OI shedding (-2.8% agg, oi_5m_z -1.07) confirming longs unwinding into weakness, price sitting on 5d low (dist_from_5d_low +0.00%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: momentum + flow cluster — clean one-way 1h ER 0.79 with rising ADX and OI bleeding down aligns short-frame bearish; the 4h bull and top-trader long ratio 1.53 are the counter-weights but they lag the fresh break. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold on 5m/15m/1h (18-27) at the 5d low — a reflex bounce/reclaim of the low could squeeze shorts fast. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2422.52; stop above intraday structure at 2461 (~1.59% — within realized range given 41% rv/1.5% avg 24h traverse, sits above the recent bounce zone); take_profit_1 stretch at 2367 (~2.29% down, RR ~1.4 vs stop) targeting continuation below the 5d low into open air. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-at-low tempers the follow-through, but momentum favors continuation.
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