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HYPEUSD long — 13 Aug 2026 (expired)

This long on HYPEUSD entered at 57.46 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 56.46 with a price move of -1.74%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetHYPEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-13 07:26
Entry57.46
Stop-loss55.85
Take-profit 158.744
Take-profit 2 (stretch)59.6
Reward:risk at entry1.33
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price56.46
Realized P&L-1.74%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: bull_trend — 5m/15m/1h all bull-aligned (4/4 alignment_score), 1h ADX 36.4 rising (slope +4.27), choppiness 42 (trending edge), ER-10 0.65 clean near-term, HMM calm conf 1.0; strong, firming bull impulse with only 4h EMA still mixed. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence clearly leans long — net moves positive across 4h/12h/24h (+1.84/+2.13/+4.25%), price sitting at 5d high (+0.000 from 5d_high). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — the strongest cluster is HTF trend (bull EMA stack 5m→1h + ADX 36 rising) confirmed by flow (OI +8.2% 24h, oi_z +0.79/+0.81, top-trader pos ratio 1.55 net long); the recurring HYPE long setup that has won repeatedly. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 72.8 overbought and z-score +2.20 stretched — a rejection at the 5d high that loses net_move_pct_4h momentum invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.46; stop_loss 55.85 below the intraday impulse structure (~2.8% ≈ 0.6x rv_24h, respects stop width); take_profit_1 59.60 stretch (~3.7% up, RR ~1.33, inside 4% clamp) targeting extension above the 5d/20d high with trend momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but overbought/stretched near a high, so meaningful expire/reversal risk.

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