HYPEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 80.654 and stopped out at 78.35 after 2.8 hours, closing at -2.86%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| Entry | 80.654 |
| Stop-loss | 78.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 82.5116 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 83.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.34 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 78.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.86% |
| Time open | 2.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (all TFs bull_aligned) but 1h ADX only 14.0 slope -1.2 (below trend threshold, fading), 4h ADX 63 RSI 69.4 (strong but overbought), choppiness 56.4 (mid-rangey), ER-10 0.10/ER-30 0.06 (very noisy path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.44 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — an extended bull structure pinned just below its 5d/20d/90d high (-1.92%) after +3.57% day, rolling z +1.75, rv_24h 55th pctile but 7d rv 100th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: higher-TF trend is up and price sits at range high — the recurring HYPE pattern; top-traders are heavily long (pos ratio 1.81, account 1.93) and agg OI +0.62% built into strength; net_move_4h +2.71% shows fresh momentum — modest long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — every TF EMA stack bullish and top-trader positioning strongly net-long into a fresh push toward the 5d high. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h ADX 14 + Hurst 0.44 + taker 0.90 (sellers dominating last hour) + oi decelerating means this is more likely a stall at range-high than a clean breakout — a rejection at the 5d high flips it. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 80.65; recent losing longs got stopped at ~-3.3%; stop below the intraday shelf at 78.35 (-2.85%, within rv), stretch target 83.75 (+3.85%) toward a modest range-high extension, R:R ~1.08, inside 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: noisy chop at range high — modest edge, high expiry risk given the recurring stall pattern.
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