AAVEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on AAVEUSD entered at 132.79 and hit its target at 135.496 after 25 minutes, closing at +2.04%.
| Asset | AAVEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 12:39 |
| Entry | 132.79 |
| Stop-loss | 128.3 |
| Take-profit 1 | 135.496 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 137.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 135.496 |
| Realized P&L | +2.04% |
| Time open | 25 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bullish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, but 1h ADX only 19.7 (positive slope +2.29, strengthening) while 4h ADX 50; choppiness 47.4 (mid), ER-10 0.45 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.50 random, HMM volatile 0.89 — a fresh +5.5% 24h bull impulse with net +6.7% over last 4h that's pinned at the 5d/20d/90d high (+0.00% off high). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — the full bull stack, +13.9% agg OI build, top-trader pos ratio 1.48 and rising taker buys all point up; nothing coherent argues short except overbought RSI (5m 84 / 4h 77) and z-score +2.45. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 EMA stack with 1h ADX now rising (+2.29 slope, unlike the fading prior losers), agg OI +13.85% confirming fresh money, top-trader position ratio 1.48 leaning long; net +6.7% 4h shows momentum is fresh not stalled. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at the exact 5d/20d/90d high with RSI overbought and z +2.45 — a rejection/blowoff reversal from the high invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout shelf at 128.30 (~3.4% risk, within the ~10% 7d ADR / atr context); stretch target 137.30 (~3.4% reward, R:R ~1.0, inside the 4% clamp) at a round extension of the impulse reachable within 24h given 5.2% avg 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum fresh and trend-aligned but at highs with overbought risk — p_tp1 47, p_sl 35, p_expire 18.
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