HYPEUSD long — 23 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 79.9453 and stopped out at 77.6 after 1.8 hours, closing at -2.93%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-23 01:57 |
| Entry | 79.9453 |
| Stop-loss | 77.6 |
| Take-profit 1 | 81.6881 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 82.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 77.6 |
| Realized P&L | -2.93% |
| Time open | 1.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 (all TFs bull_aligned), but 1h ADX only 17.99 with slope -2.9 (fading, below trend threshold), 4h ADX 63 RSI 70.4 (strong but overbought), choppiness 54 (mid/rangey), ER-10 0.41 / ER-30 0.19 (noisy path), Hurst 0.46 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — an extended bull structure pinned just below its 5d/20d/90d high (-2.83%), rolling z +1.86, rv_24h 67th pctile, 7d rv 100th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: modestly long — full EMA stack + top-trader pos ratio 1.86 (crowd long) + price near highs after +4.29% day favor the bull side, but momentum is fading. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 EMA stack bullish across all TFs and top-trader position ratio 1.86 confirms institutional long lean; OI +9.56% 24h shows fresh money entering the up-move. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h ADX fading (-2.9), oi_momentum accelerating_down, taker ratio 0.93 (sellers), agg_oi -5.65% and recent same-regime longs got stopped 3x in a row — a rejection at the -2.83% high would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 79.95; stop below the recent intraday shelf at 77.60 (~2.94% down, ~0.6x the 4.84% typical 24h traversal, structural invalidation of the bull leg); stretch TP 82.85 (~3.63% up, R:R ~1.23, just above the -2.83% 5d high reclaim), inside 4% clamp. 6. EXPECTATION: fading momentum + repeated recent stop-outs cap the up-side; p_tp1 40, p_sl 41, p_expire 19.
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