HYPEUSD long — 4 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 85.34 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 85.16 with a price move of -0.21%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-04 12:48 |
| Entry | 85.34 |
| Stop-loss | 83.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 87.026 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 88.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 85.16 |
| Realized P&L | -0.21% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (1h/4h/15m bull_aligned, 5m mixed), 1h ADX 34.8 but slope -2.4 (fading), ER-10 0.30 / choppiness 53.6 / Hurst 0.46 (choppy, path nets little) — an intact but decelerating bull grinding sideways; +3.5% on 24h, z-score +1.5 (extended), HMM calm 0.998. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — higher-TF EMA stack up and top-trader position ratio 1.69 long-tilted, but OI accelerating_down and short-term momentum negative complicate it; still leans long over short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 1h/4h/15m all bull_aligned, taker buy/sell 1.14, top-trader pos ratio 1.69 skewed long, oversold 5m RSI 28.5 offers a dip-buy into an established uptrend sitting just -2.5% below 5d/20d/90d high. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.78, oi_15m_z -1.09, recent-half -2.14%) + fading ADX signals distribution — a break below the recent 12h low with continued OI bleed invalidates the dip-buy. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 85.34; stop 83.05 below recent swing/12h-low structure (~2.7% ≈ 0.5x the 5.5% 7d range, sane for 82% RV); take_profit_1 at 88.15 stretch toward the 5d high retest (~3.3%, R:R ~1.23, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy extended tape with fading trend caps upside odds; p_tp1 44 / p_sl 38 / p_expire 18.
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