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HYPEUSD long — 25 Sep 2026 (expired)

This long on HYPEUSD entered at 92.2 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 91.935 with a price move of -0.29%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetHYPEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-09-25 13:38
Entry92.2
Stop-loss90.42
Take-profit 193.61
Take-profit 2 (stretch)94.55
Reward:risk at entry1.32
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price91.935
Realized P&L-0.29%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) — only 4h EMA bull_aligned while 5m/15m/1h all mixed with RSI 35-46; 1h ADX 15.4 slope -1.57 (fading, sub-trend), ADX-20 12.5, ER-10 0.11 / ER-30 0.09 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 51 mid, Hurst 0.57, HMM calm 1.0 — a matured bull structure now in low-conviction transitional chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a modest LONG lean on positioning — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.03, oi_15m_z +1.17, oi_change_recent_half +2.15%), top-trader pos ratio 1.79 heavily long, funding mildly positive and building (funding_momentum +4.5); against it, near-term taker 0.90 (sellers) and net_move_4h -1.46%. 3. THESIS: OI accelerating up alongside a lopsided top-trader long book (pos ratio 1.79) and rising funding is the strongest cluster — smart money adding into a shallow pullback off 5d high, with the only bull-aligned HTF (4h) intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: loss of the 5d-low band (mark below ~90.5) would flip this from a dip-buy into a fresh leg down and invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 92.20, stop 90.42 (below the +1.8% 5d-low support and recent 4h flush low, ~1.9% risk — within the ~4.8% daily range), take_profit_1 94.55 stretch (~2.55%, R:R ~1.3x) into the mid-range prior consolidation shelf below the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with thin trend, positioning-driven lean — modest edge, meaningful expire probability.

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