HYPEUSD short — 24 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 57.1 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 57.84 with a price move of -1.30%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-24 21:48 |
| Entry | 57.1 |
| Stop-loss | 58.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 55.75 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 54.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 57.84 |
| Realized P&L | -1.30% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF alignment (4/4 bear-aligned EMA stacks 5m-4h), but 1h ADX only 14.4 (chop territory) with slope +2, 4h ADX 30 and 4h RSI 35, Hurst 0.61 (trend-persistent), ER10 0.45/ER30 0.26, choppiness 48 — a genuine bear-aligned trend running with weak 1h momentum, calm HMM. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence tilts short — full bearish stack, fresh downside momentum (net_4h -3.1%, net_12h -3.0%), price sitting on its 5d/20d/90d lows (dist_from_extrema all +0.00), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -3.0, agg_oi -5.0%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — price just made fresh 20d/90d lows with accelerating_down OI momentum and negative delta funding, and RSI oversold on 5m/15m suggests a small bounce but the higher-TF structure (4h ADX 30, full bearish) favors continuation lower. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 18, 15m 26) plus top-trader position ratio 2.02 long-heavy and taker ratio 1.20 (latest bucket buyers) — a mean-reversion bounce back above ~58.5 would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 57.10, stop above the recent reclaim/invalidation at 58.75 (~2.9% risk, beyond the oversold-bounce zone); TP1 stretch at 54.85, the next downside extension (~3.9% reward, R:R ~1.35). 6. EXPECTATION: given oversold-bounce risk and low WR base rate, p_tp1 42 / p_sl 34 / p_expire 24.
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