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HYPEUSD short — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 79.5114 and stopped out at 81.35 after 15.2 hours, closing at -2.31%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 02:54 |
| Entry | 79.5114 |
| Stop-loss | 81.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 78.2146 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 77.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.18 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 81.35 |
| Realized P&L | -2.31% |
| Time open | 15.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h EMA bear_aligned with ADX 30 but slope -1.7 (firm-but-fading), 5m bull/RSI 72 OB, 15m mixed, 4h mixed → alignment 0/4, ER-10 0.18/ER-30 0.03, choppiness 53, Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a bear-labeled tape overrun by a fresh sharp up-impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided — the recurring HYPE edge is fading short-drifts, but here net_4h +2.75% is a strong fresh bounce into 5m overbought (RSI 72), while net_24h is flat and price sits at rolling z -1.11, only +2.86% off the 5d/20d low; the last two long attempts here both lost. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: modest short lean — the dominant 1h bear stack plus taker 1h 0.888 (sellers), OI decelerating/rolling down (oi_change_recent_half -0.80%, agg_oi -0.42%), agg funding near flat, and the RSI-72 overbought fast bounce into a bear-aligned 1h is exactly the exhaustion setup prior short winners fed on. 4. PRE-MORTEM: if the +2.75% 4h impulse continues and price reclaims the 5d-high zone with OI re-accelerating up, the bounce is real and the short fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 79.51; stop above the fresh impulse high buffer at 81.35 (~2.3% risk, within the ~2.4% avg 24h traversal / 68 rv); take_profit_1 at 77.35, ~2.7% below entry, R:R ~1.17, a reachable mean-reversion structural level inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh momentum against the short is a real risk, so honest odds are modest.
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