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ETHUSD short — 14 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on ETHUSD entered at 2,483.9 and stopped out at 2,513.5 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.19%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-14 00:54 |
| Entry | 2,483.9 |
| Stop-loss | 2,513.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,465.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,453.7 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.02 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,513.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.19% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bear EMA, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 21.9 slope +1.6 (weak but firming), ADX-20 16.6, ER-10 0.08/ER-30 0.20 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 50.6 (neutral), Hurst 0.28 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a low-efficiency chop tape drifting down (-1.09% 4h, -1.57% 24h). 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a modest short lean survives on near-term structure — 5m/15m bear EMA, negative net moves, decelerating OI down, price -5.5% off 5d high with room lower. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short-frame EMA stack is bear-aligned and momentum is down (net_move -1.09% 4h); OI z-scores deeply negative (-1.38) with decelerating momentum shows longs unwinding as price falls — trend-aligned short on the lower TFs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio 1.23 and account ratio 1.65 lean long, 1h taker ratio 1.36 buy-heavy, and 4h EMA still bull — a reclaim of ~2500 with buy flow flips this to a bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop above the intraday pivot / recent taker-buy zone at 2513.5 (~1.19% risk, inside 24h rv range); target the 5d-low structure region at 2453.7 (~1.22% reward, R:R ~1.03, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: chop regime with counterweighting long positioning caps edge — p_tp1 44, p_sl 41, p_expire 15.
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