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HYPEUSD short — 20 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 90.97 and stopped out at 93.059 after 13.1 hours, closing at -2.30%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-20 03:30 |
| Entry | 90.97 |
| Stop-loss | 93.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 89.368 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 88.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.28 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 93.059 |
| Realized P&L | -2.30% |
| Time open | 13.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4 vote), 1h ADX 26 slope -0.65 (fading), 4h still bull_aligned/ADX 46 but 5m bear_aligned; ER-10 0.31/ER-30 0.036 (path netting nowhere), choppiness 42.9 (mid), Hurst 0.57 mild persistence, HMM calm — a maturing bull structure that has stalled into a pullback/chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest SHORT lean near-term — net_4h -1.47%/net_12h -2.27%/net_24h -2.74% down, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.60, agg_oi -2.69%, oi_change_24h -7.8%) with taker ratio 0.75 (sell-heavy) — deleveraging into a fade off the 5d high (-3.5%). 3. THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_down OI plus persistent sub-1 taker buy/sell and negative recent momentum signal supply pressure winning short-term despite the intact 4h bull frame; z_20d +1.65 says price is stretched above mean and unwinding. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 4h EMAs still bull_aligned and top-traders heavily long (pos_ratio 1.84, account 1.45) — a reclaim of ~93 with OI turning back up flips this to a trend-resumption long and invalidates the fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 90.97, stop above the near swing/reclaim zone at 93.05 (~2.3% risk, within the 6.1% avg daily range); stretch target down at 88.30 (~2.9% below entry, R:R ~1.28, a reachable support inside 24h given avg_move_24h 3.47%). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors the fade but strong 4h trend + long top-traders cap it — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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