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DOGEUSD short — 20 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.085003 and stopped out at 0.08672 after 7.2 hours, closing at -2.02%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-20 09:15 |
| Entry | 0.085003 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08672 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.083735 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08289 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08672 |
| Realized P&L | -2.02% |
| Time open | 7.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (0/4 alignment; 5m/15m bear-stacked, 1h/4h bull-stacked), 1h ADX 31.5 slope +1.57 (firm but the near-TF stack has flipped bear), ER-10 0.76 clean / ER-30 0.27 noisy, choppiness 34.6 (trending edge), Hurst 0.50 neutral, HMM calm — a bull-stacked HTF now rolling over into a clean near-term down-leg. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — net -0.67% 4h, -2.95% 12h, -2.82% 24h, all consistent down; OI accelerating_down (oi 15m z -1.47), taker 0.87 sell-heavy, agg OI -0.88% — sellers in control and OI bleeding as price drops. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster is the strongest — OI momentum accelerating_down with 5m/15m OI z ~-1.47 plus taker 0.87 and 12h/24h net negative means longs are exiting into weakness, a trend-aligned continuation with the near-TF bear EMA stack; ER-10 0.76 confirms the recent path is clean-directional down. 4. PRE-MORTEM: top-trader pos ratio is extreme long (3.73) and price sits +7.4% off the 5d/20d/90d low — a reflex bounce off that support, or the 1h/4h bull stack reasserting, would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.085003; stop 0.086720 above the recent 4h consolidation shelf (~2.0% / roughly 0.8x the 2.4% typical 24h traverse); target 0.082890, a stretch of ~2.49% and R:R ~1.23, into the mid-range toward the 5d-low zone, reachable within 24h given avg 24h move 2.38%. 6. EXPECTATION: clean near-term downside but extreme-long top traders and nearby support cap it — p_tp1 44, p_sl 34, p_expire 22.
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