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HYPEUSD short — 24 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 90.5672 and stopped out at 92.85 after 3.4 hours, closing at -2.52%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-24 10:08 |
| Entry | 90.5672 |
| Stop-loss | 92.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 88.9369 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 87.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.19 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 92.85 |
| Realized P&L | -2.52% |
| Time open | 3.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) — 5m/15m bear_aligned with RSI ~30 oversold, 1h mixed, only 4h still bull_aligned; 1h ADX 27.7 slope -2.6 (trend fading), ER-10 0.41/ER-30 0.39 (moderate, netting little), choppiness 47 mid, Hurst 0.59, HMM calm 1.0 — a matured bull structure in a sharp downside flush, transitional/bearish near-term. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear near-term SHORT lean — net_4h -2.2%, net_12h -3.9%, net_24h -5.8% all pointing down, OI bleeding (oi_24h -7.8%, agg_oi -6.2%, oi_5m_z -1.13, momentum decelerating) as longs unwind, taker_1h 0.75 (sellers dominant, recent hourly ratios mostly <1). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster is the strongest edge — falling price on falling OI plus sell-side takers is a controlled long liquidation, and lower TFs are bear_aligned, so continuation lower is favored; the counterweight is top-trader pos ratio 1.99 (heavy long) but that ratio is DECLINING (delta -0.024, 4h -0.0225), consistent with them trimming. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI ~30 oversold + price sitting right at 5d_low (+0.32%) is prime bounce territory — a reclaim of ~92 with momentum would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 90.57; stop above the local pullback structure / 5d-low reclaim at 92.85 (~2.5% up, ~0.4x rv_24h span, respects width given avg 24h traversal 3.6%); target the stretch down to 87.85 (~3.0% below, RR ~1.18, inside 4% clamp, reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 3.57%). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold near 5d-low tempers downside odds; p_tp1 44 / p_sl 37 / p_expire 19.
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