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HYPEUSD short — 29 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 86.3708 and stopped out at 88.56 after 5.9 hours, closing at -2.53%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-29 01:53 |
| Entry | 86.3708 |
| Stop-loss | 88.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 84.7383 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 83.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 88.56 |
| Realized P&L | -2.53% |
| Time open | 5.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed but 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned with RSI 32-41, only 4h EMA mixed; 1h ADX 34.5 slope +1.8 (firm, firming downtrend), ER-10 0.37/ER-30 0.34 (moderate cleanliness), choppiness 43 edging trending, Hurst 0.41 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — matured bull now flushing lower, near-term bearish. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — net -0.74% 4h / -4.02% 24h, price at 5d/20d/90d lows (dist_from_low +0.00), rolling z -2.92. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned SHORT — bear EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.65, oi_15m_z -1.74, agg_oi -3.5%) with taker 0.90 shows longs bleeding out into the flush, consistent with the 3 prior winning HYPE shorts on identical structure. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is deeply oversold at multi-day lows with z -2.92 and top-trader pos ratio 1.46 still long — a mean-reversion bounce reclaim above ~88.5 kills the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 86.37, stop 88.55 beyond the reclaim shelf (2.52% ≈ 0.5x rv_24h, structural invalidation above recent lower-high); target 83.65, a stretch of 3.15% below at continuation extension — R:R ~1.24, within clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold at lows caps downside continuation odds; give p_tp1 44, p_sl 33, p_expire 23.
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