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HYPEUSD short — 13 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 81.4868 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 81.21 with a price move of +0.34%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-13 13:50 |
| Entry | 81.4868 |
| Stop-loss | 83.35 |
| Take-profit 1 | 79.9947 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 79 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 81.21 |
| Realized P&L | +0.34% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h/4h ALL bear_aligned (full_bearish 4/4), 1h ADX 39.0 slope +1.1 (strong, still firming), ADX-20 32.3, choppiness 40.7 (mid, just above trending edge), ER-10 0.44/ER-30 0.46 (moderate directional cleanliness), Hurst 0.54 mild persistence, HMM calm 1.0 — a mature, intact bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT lean — full MTF bearish stack, net -4.9% 24h / -1.0% 4h, z-score -1.69 (extended but trend-aligned). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: HTF trend alignment is the dominant cluster — all four TFs bear_aligned with strong 1h ADX still rising; prior same-regime HYPE shorts have a solid record. 4. PRE-MORTEM: contradicting cluster is positioning — top_trader_pos_ratio 2.16 (heavily long, rising) + taker 1h 0.74 (sell-skew supports short) + OI accelerating_up; a top-trader-led squeeze reclaiming the ~84 area with momentum would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: price 81.49 near 5d_low (+1.3% above); stop above recent intraday structure at 83.35 (~2.3%, within 1h atr/rv range for this high-vol asset); stretch TP down to 79.00 (~3.05%, R:R ~1.33, inside clamps) targeting a 5d-low break. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with one real positioning counter; honest base rates.
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