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HYPEUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (expired)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 75.3438 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 75.509 with a price move of -0.22%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 09:12 |
| Entry | 75.3438 |
| Stop-loss | 77.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 73.9675 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 73.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.34 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 75.509 |
| Realized P&L | -0.22% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 36.6 slope +5.8 (genuine, strengthening trend), choppiness 42.2 (mid-trending), ER-10 0.49/ER-30 0.23, Hurst 0.34 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a firm, strengthening bear trend with heavy downside drift (net -2.3% 4h, -3.6% 24h). 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT — trend-aligned, momentum intact, sitting at the 5d/20d/90d low (0.00% off all lows). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is the full_bearish MTF stack + rising ADX (36.6, +5.8 slope) confirming a strengthening downtrend; taker 1h 0.82 (sell-skew) and agg OI -1.74% (shorts covering nothing, longs bleeding) reinforce the drift. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold (5m 24.7 / 15m 19.5 / 1h 32.7) and z-score -2.64 — a mean-reversion snapback could reclaim intrabar lows, and top-trader pos ratio 2.71 stays stubbornly long (crowd leaning against me). 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 75.344; stop above a recent intraday reclaim beyond 1h ATR at 77.05 (~2.26% risk), target the measured continuation leg into fresh low territory at 73.05 (~3.05% reward, R:R ~1.35, inside clamps, reachable given avg 24h move 1.92% and 4h momentum -2.27%). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned continuation favored but oversold/deeply stretched caps conviction.
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