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SOLUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on SOLUSD entered at 101.3675 and hit its target at 99.587 after 5.2 hours, closing at +1.76%.
| Asset | SOLUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 09:57 |
| Entry | 101.3675 |
| Stop-loss | 103.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 99.587 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 98.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 99.587 |
| Realized P&L | +1.76% |
| Time open | 5.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear-aligned), 1h ADX 36.2 slope +4.3 (genuine strengthening downtrend), ER10 0.57 / choppiness 46.2 / Hurst 0.36 — a reasonably clean bearish trend with mean-reverting bias at longer horizon; HMM calm conf 1.0. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear SHORT — every TF bear-aligned, trend firming, price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low (-6.65% from high, +0.00% from 5d low), net_move_pct negative across 4h/12h/24h. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish stack with ADX firming to 36 and accelerating_up OI (oi_5m_z +0.73) suggests fresh shorts pressing a breakdown; taker ratio 0.962 sub-1 confirms sell pressure, and SOL's own 30d track record is +67% WR. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 29.4 oversold + z-score -2.19 + top_trader_pos_ratio 2.24 long-heavy raises bounce risk; a reclaim of ~103 would flip the near-term bias. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 101.37, stop above the invalidation at 103.55 (just over recent resistance, ~2.15% = ~1.4x the typical 1.5% daily traverse but justified by 38 RV), take_profit_1 at 98.40 structural extension of the breakdown (~2.93% below, R:R ~1.36, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: trend favors downside but oversold + crowded-long fade risk keeps p_sl meaningful.
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