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HYPEUSD short — 25 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 75.2844 and stopped out at 77.15 after 6.3 hours, closing at -2.48%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-25 09:12 |
| Entry | 75.2844 |
| Stop-loss | 77.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 73.9438 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 73.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 77.15 |
| Realized P&L | -2.48% |
| Time open | 6.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 25.6 slope +1.5 (genuine trend, mildly strengthening), choppiness 45.1 (mid), ER-10 0.52 / ER-30 0.22 (near-term cleaner, 30-bar noisy), Hurst 0.37 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a confirmed bear trend with downside drift (net -1.24% 4h, -1.08% 12h) but stretched oversold short-term. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT — full bearish stack, falling OI (agg -3.75%, Binance OI z -2.0 heavily compressed), taker 0.744 sell-skewed, sitting -8.3% below 5d high. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish 4/4 with intact momentum and OI bleeding on the way down (longs capitulating), and this asset's 30d short record is strong (recent same-regime shorts won +2.52%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits at the 5d/20d/90d LOW (+0.044%) with rolling z -2.11 and 5m RSI 30.7 — a deeply oversold mean-reverting setup (Hurst 0.37) can snap back sharply off this low. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.28; stop above the recent swing / reclaim zone at 77.15 (~2.5% stop, near the 4h atr_pct 1.67 realized range); stretch target 73.05 (~2.96% below, ~1.19x stop distance, R:R ~1.19, inside clamps) at the next downside extension beyond the 90d low. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but at a fresh low with oversold stretch and mean-reverting Hurst raises bounce risk; honest distribution.
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