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DOGEUSD short — 25 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.076257 and stopped out at 0.07742 after 6.1 hours, closing at -1.53%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-25 09:27 |
| Entry | 0.076257 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07742 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.07521 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.074513 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07742 |
| Realized P&L | -1.53% |
| Time open | 6.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 37.5 slope +1.41 (strong, mildly strengthening), choppiness 41.3 (trending edge), ER-10 0.54 vs ER-30 0.29 (recent path cleaner than the longer one), Hurst 0.45, HMM calm 99.99% — a genuine, intact bear trend with a fresh downleg. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net -1.06%/4h, -1.28%/12h, -1.36%/24h all down, OI accelerating_down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow + trend confluence — full bear MTF stack with taker_buy_sell 0.78 (sell-heavy), agg OI -2.51% and oi_momentum accelerating_down (price falling on OI exit = positions unwinding into weakness), aligned HTF trend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits z-score -2.19 and only +0.65% off the 5d/20d/90d low with 1h RSI 34.8 — an oversold reclaim bounce off that low would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.076257; stop above a near structural pivot at 0.07760 (~1.75% up, within the ~4% 24h range, beyond the intraday swing); target 0.07470 (~1.5% down, structural retest of the recent low zone), R:R ~0.84... adjust — stop 0.077420 (1.52%), target 0.074490 (2.32%) gives R:R 1.5, but target within 4% clamp and reachable given avg 24h move 1.95% and p90 range 6.6%. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned but close to the low (bounce risk), so modest edge with real expire/bounce probability.
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