PAXGUSD short — 31 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on PAXGUSD entered at 4,442.5 and hit its target at 4,420 after 6.2 hours, closing at +0.51%.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-31 07:38 |
| Entry | 4,442.5 |
| Stop-loss | 4,475 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,420 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,405 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.16 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 4,420 |
| Realized P&L | +0.51% |
| Time open | 6.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/15m EMAs bear_aligned, 4h/5m mixed, regime bear_trend, ADX 38.5 (slope +0.57, still strengthening), choppiness 43.7 (trending edge), ER-10 0.25/ER-30 0.21 (noisy), Hurst 0.46, HMM calm — a macro gold pullback with an intact intraday bear trend but recent path noisy. 2. LEAN CHECK: leans short — macro gold -1.73% 1d / -2.04% 5d, spot -0.45% 1d, net_move -0.65% 12h / -0.49% 24h, rolling_z -1.71 (extended below mean), 1h RSI 42.8 and 4h RSI 33.7 leaning down; the recent PAXG short wins (four in a row) rode exactly this setup. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — bear EMA stack on 1h/15m + strengthening 1h ADX + a falling macro gold backdrop (XAU -2% over 5d, DXY flat-to-up), the dominant confluence cluster. 4. PRE-MORTEM: net_move_pct_4h just turned +0.54% and taker_buy_sell 1.38 with top-trader pos ratio 2.74 — a mean-reversion bounce off the 5d low (only +0.54% away) would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4442.52; stop above the recent 4h swing / intraday reclaim at 4475.0 (~0.73% = ~0.5x the 24h avg range, respects the compressed gold vol); target the retest toward the 5d low zone at 4405.0 (~0.85% = ~1.15x stop distance, R:R ~1.15). 6. EXPECTATION: gold vol is low and the path is choppy so a meaningful expire share; short slightly favored on trend + macro.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.