SLVONUSD long — 31 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.808 and stopped out at 60.15 after 5.6 hours, closing at -1.08%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-31 08:09 |
| Entry | 60.808 |
| Stop-loss | 60.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 61.3012 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.63 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 60.15 |
| Realized P&L | -1.08% |
| Time open | 5.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 0/4 mixed (only 1h bear-aligned; 5m/15m/4h mixed), labeled bear_trend, 1h ADX 25.8 but slope -5.0 (fading fast), ADX-20 19.7, ER_10 0.29/ER_30 0.10 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 55.2, Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm, mean-reverting chop with a fading structural bear lean. 2. LEAN CHECK: competing forces — bear EMA structure + accelerating_down OI (oi_5m_z -1.65, recent-half -7.68%) vs recent-half up momentum (net +1.01% 4h, taker 1.33 buy-tilted, RSI 60s, funding_z -0.57 mild) and price stretched down (rolling z -1.03, sitting +1.38% off the 90d low) — the near-term buy pressure and mean-reverting stretch off the low give a modest long lean over a fading bear. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: mean-reversion bounce — z-20d at -1.03 near the multi-timeframe low with fresh 4h up-momentum (+1.01%) and hourly taker ratio ticking to 1.33, on a Hurst-0.37 mean-reverting tape where fades off the low have repeatedly won on this asset; top-trader position ratio 1.76 stays net-long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: accelerating_down OI unwind resumes and price breaks the +1.38% 90d-low cushion, confirming the bear leg rather than reverting. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.808; stop below the recent low structure at 60.15 (~1.08% risk, ~0.5x the 22.5% annualized rv/1.2% avg 24h traversal — appropriate for this low-vol tape); stretch TP at 61.63 (~1.35% reward, R:R ~1.25) into the 4h-consolidation mid, reachable within 24h given avg 24h move ~1.2% plus the fresh momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: mean-reverting chop with modest edge, thin-but-real single-cluster lean.
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