Home › Signals › October 2026 › PAXGUSD
PAXGUSD short — 21 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on PAXGUSD entered at 4,120.6 and hit its target at 4,101.6 after 8.4 hours, closing at +0.46%.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 19:09 |
| Entry | 4,120.6 |
| Stop-loss | 4,152 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,101.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,089 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.01 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 4,101.6 |
| Realized P&L | +0.46% |
| Time open | 8.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA stacks both bear-aligned, 15m bull, 5m mixed (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed); 1h ADX 13.8 slope +1.2, choppiness 59.8, ER-10 0.07/ER-30 0.06 (near-zero efficiency, nets nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm, genuinely choppy gold tape with a soft bear tilt but no real trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin short lean — spot gold -0.24% 24h, net_move_4h -0.36% (fresh downside momentum), 1h/4h bear stacks, 4h long liq share 0.99 (longs being flushed); but Hurst mean-reverting and rolling z -1.49 (already stretched low, 5d_low only +0.11% away) argue mean-reversion, keeping this low-conviction. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: bear-aligned 1h/4h EMA stack plus fresh -0.36% 4h push and soft spot gold decline favor the short — track record shows shorts on this asset winning repeatedly in exactly this calm-bear setup. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits at z -1.49 and just off the 5d low (+0.11%) with top-traders massively net long (pos ratio 4.2) — a mean-revert bounce back toward VWAP invalidates the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4120.62; stop above the 15m bull reclaim / recent intraday swing at 4152.0 (~0.76% / near 7d avg range); target down toward prior support below the 5d low at 4089.0 (~0.77% stretch), R:R ~1.0. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy mean-reverting tape near its low caps edge — p_tp1 39, p_sl 36, p_expire 25.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.