Home › Signals › October 2026 › XAUTUSD
XAUTUSD long — 21 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on XAUTUSD entered at 4,136 and stopped out at 4,116.5 after 2.1 hours, closing at -0.47%.
| Asset | XAUTUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-21 16:54 |
| Entry | 4,136 |
| Stop-loss | 4,116.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,150.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,160.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 4,116.5 |
| Realized P&L | -0.47% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Low-vol chop — MTF 0/4 (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 11 slope -0.95 (no trend, fading), choppiness 68 (firmly range-bound), ER-10 0.34/ER-30 0.07 (nets nowhere), Hurst 0.42 slightly mean-reverting, HMM calm full-conf; RV-24h at 22nd pctile (quiet), 7d RV at 1.9th pctile (extremely compressed). 2. LEAN CHECK: thin but real — price sits at rolling z -0.93 (lower end of 20d range), +0.42% off 5d low, net moves recently positive (12h +0.32%, 24h +0.23%), 4h taker ratio buy-skewed (0.75... latest bucket low though), OI building (z +1.45), top-trader pos ratio heavily long 5.0; modest LONG mean-reversion lean from a compressed depressed price. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: price pressed to the low end of its 20d distribution (z -0.93) in a mean-reverting Hurst regime with recent 12h/24h net moves turning positive and OI building into the bounce — a snap-back toward the mean is the favored path; gold spot flat-to-mildly-up (+0.21%/24h) offers no macro headwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a fresh DXY bid or gold spot breaking its 5d down-leg (gold -0.88%/5d) would push XAUT back toward/through the 5d low and invalidate the bounce. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4136.02; stop_loss 4116.5 (below 5d low region / ~0.47% down, beyond invalidation, within ~1x the 0.97% 7d daily range); take_profit_1 4160.5 (~0.59% up, toward the mean/5d-high zone), R:R ~1.25. 6. EXPECTATION: compressed low-vol chop, mean-reversion edge modest — p_tp1 42, p_sl 35, p_expire 23.
How to read this page
Every Drishti Pro signal is published when it is issued and scored when it closes: target hit, stop hit, or 24-hour expiry. Nothing is deleted. Expired signals stay public but are excluded from the win-rate denominator. The live aggregate is at /api/stats.json; the method is on the engineering page.
Educational & illustrative only — not investment advice. Drishti Pro publishes AI-generated trade ideas and their public track record for information. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research.