SLVONUSD long — 7 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 57.8535 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 57.89 with a price move of +0.06%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-07 14:23 |
| Entry | 57.8535 |
| Stop-loss | 56.72 |
| Take-profit 1 | 58.6314 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 59.15 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 57.89 |
| Realized P&L | +0.06% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h/1h/15m EMA stacks bull_aligned (alignment 2/4, 5m mixed), 1h ADX 36.7 rising (slope +3.4), choppiness 32.6 (trending), ER_10 0.34 (moderate) but ER_30 0.17 and Hurst 0.46 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — a strong-but-stretched uptrend near the highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: bull structure and OI accelerating_up (+34.5% 24h, oi_z +1.4) favor long, but 4h RSI 71 overbought, rolling_z +2.28, RV at 95th pctile, and net -0.98% last 4h signal near-term exhaustion — trend-aligned long is the cleaner side but with modest confidence. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow — bull EMA stack on 1h/4h with rising ADX and accelerating OI backed by XAG spot +3.52% confirming the silver leg; this asset's recent track record rewards trend-aligned longs (3 wins) and punishes counter-trend shorts (both fades lost). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 71 4h + z +2.28 + funding_z 4.03 (crowded long) means a mean-reversion pullback from the highs (-1.6% from 5d/20d/90d high) would invalidate the long. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 57.85; stop below the recent 4h consolidation shelf at 56.72 (~1.96% risk, ~0.6x rv_24h, structural); stretch TP at 59.15 (~2.24% reward, R:R ~1.15) toward a marginal new high above the 90d high. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought stretch caps upside so meaningful expire/pullback risk.
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