SLVONUSD long — 13 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 59.8017 and stopped out at 59.05 after 2.1 hours, closing at -1.26%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-13 00:26 |
| Entry | 59.8017 |
| Stop-loss | 59.05 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.3707 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 60.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 59.05 |
| Realized P&L | -1.26% |
| Time open | 2.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) — 1h/4h EMA stacks bull_aligned with strong 4h ADX 39.7, but 1h ADX 20.8 fading (slope -2.6), ER_10 0.03 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 49.4 mid, Hurst 0.45, HMM calm — a higher-TF uptrend that has stalled into near-term consolidation right under the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.88%). 2. LEAN CHECK: tilts long — 4h bull structure, taker ratio 1.62 (freshest hour buy-heavy), top-trader pos ratio 1.63 long-tilted, net +0.81% 4h momentum, and silver spot XAG +1.45%; the drag is OI bleeding (-8.8% 24h, accelerating_down) and rolling z +1.34 (stretched). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4h/1h EMAs bullish, top-traders positioned long, fresh 4h buy momentum, macro gold +1.94%/silver ETF +0.87% tailwind supports the tokenized-silver bid near range highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rejection at the 5d high (-0.88% overhead) with OI already accelerating down would confirm distribution and roll price back toward the 20d mean. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.80; stop 59.05 below the recent consolidation shelf (~1.25% ≈ 0.7x the 30d avg daily range, structural invalidation of the bull lean); take_profit_1 60.75 (stretch ~1.27x stop distance, R:R ~1.27, just above the 5d high, reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal 1.7%). 6. EXPECTATION: honest terminal distribution given mid-choppiness and stalling trend.
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