XAUTUSD long — 13 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on XAUTUSD entered at 4,419.8 and stopped out at 4,391 after 1.3 hours, closing at -0.65%.
| Asset | XAUTUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-13 00:41 |
| Entry | 4,419.8 |
| Stop-loss | 4,391 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,441.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,455.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 4,391 |
| Realized P&L | -0.65% |
| Time open | 1.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Clean gold bull_trend — MTF 4/4 full_bullish (all TFs EMA bull_aligned), 4h ADX 44.8 strong, 1h ADX 25.9 (slight fade -0.36 slope), Hurst 0.54, HMM calm at full confidence, choppiness 61.8 (mildly range-y intraday but higher-TF trend intact). 2. LEAN CHECK: long — macro gold decisively strong (+1.94% 1d, +5.23% 5d), DXY flat/soft (99.86), US10y ticking down (-0.32%), token premium mildly positive (+0.055%), price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs (-0.009%). 3. THESIS: macro-tailwind trend continuation — gold spot ripping, 1h taker ratio 3.77 (fresh buy surge), top-trader position ratio 1.73 net long, all four TFs bull-aligned; trend-aligned long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI stretched (5m 71, 15m 74), z-score +1.33, OI falling (-5.2% 24h, accelerating_down) — a macro reversal or mean-reversion pullback from highs would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the near-term structural pivot at ~4,391 (beyond noise, ~0.65% = ~0.5x the 1.46% daily range); stretch target 4,455 (~0.8% up, R:R ~1.25) toward a fresh high extension, reachable given 1.12% typical 24h traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but stretched/overbought and OI bleeding, so meaningful expire/pullback risk.
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