SLVONUSD long — 15 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 58.86 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 58.94 with a price move of +0.14%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-15 13:58 |
| Entry | 58.86 |
| Stop-loss | 58.06 |
| Take-profit 1 | 59.46 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 59.86 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 58.94 |
| Realized P&L | +0.14% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) — only 4h EMA bull_aligned, 5m/15m/1h mixed; 1h ADX 13.3 fading (slope -0.6), ADX-20 10.1 (chop), ER_10 0.12 / ER_30 0.07 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 53.9 mid, Hurst 0.45 mean-reverting, HMM calm conf 1.0 — low-vol chop under a stalled higher-TF uptrend, RV in the 11th percentile. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long tilt — top_trader_pos_ratio 1.47 / account_ratio 2.49 (positioned long), last-hour taker ratio 0.72 is mildly sell-side but the 24h taker path spiked buy-heavy repeatedly (2.17/2.47 recent), and 5d_low is +1.52% below with plenty of room; 4h structure remains the only aligned TF and it's bullish. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — the sole trending TF (4h ADX 25.4, bull EMA stack) points up, top traders hold a net-long position, and price sits mid-range (-2.47% from 5d high, +1.52% from 5d low) in mean-reverting calm tape that favors a bounce off the recent -0.86% 24h dip. 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI is bleeding (oi_5m_z -1.05, oi_change_24h -4.1%, decelerating) and last-hour takers are net sellers (0.72) — if that seller flow persists and 5d_low breaks, the long is wrong. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 58.86; stop 58.06 below the near-term swing/5d-low buffer (~1.36%, within the ~2.8% avg daily range and 0.5-1.5x RV band); take_profit_1 59.86 (~1.70%, ~1.25x stop distance, R:R ~1.25) at a structural reclaim toward the 5d-high zone, reachable within 24h given 1.25% typical traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with a thin long lean — p_tp1 41, p_sl 36, p_expire 23.
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