SLVONUSD long — 18 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.3668 and stopped out at 59.62 after 34 minutes, closing at -1.24%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-18 01:13 |
| Entry | 60.3668 |
| Stop-loss | 59.62 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.9267 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.3 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 59.62 |
| Realized P&L | -1.24% |
| Time open | 34 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF alignment 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 23.5 (genuine trend) though slope fading -1.5, 4h ADX 32.7 strong; but ER_10 0.057 and choppiness 48.7 show near-term path netting nowhere, Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a real higher-TF uptrend stalling into near-term consolidation right AT the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long tilt — trend structure and OI/flow both point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.69, 15m_z +2.05, momentum accelerating_up) with taker ratio 1.31 and top-trader position ratio 1.40 rising — fresh long-side flow confirming the bull structure; underlying silver ETF +1.86% 1d gives macro tailwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits exactly at 5d/20d/90d high with z-score +2.31 (stretched) and RSI near 65-69 across TFs — a failed breakout / mean-reversion rejection would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.3668; stop below near-term structure at 59.62 (~1.24% risk, ~0.75x rv_24h/atr scale, honest invalidation of the breakout); stretch TP at 61.30 (~1.55% reward, ~1.25x stop distance, inside 4% clamp) — a modest extension of the breakout reachable given avg 24h traversal ~1.05% but net_move already +1.24%. 6. EXPECTATION: at-extension breakout with fading ADX but supportive flow — p_tp1 42, p_sl 34, p_expire 24.
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