SLVONUSD long — 28 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 60.5754 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 60.41 with a price move of -0.27%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 16:23 |
| Entry | 60.5754 |
| Stop-loss | 59.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 61.3702 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.15 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 60.41 |
| Realized P&L | -0.27% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 0/4 mixed (5m bear-aligned, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bull-aligned), 1h ADX 24.8 (ADX-20 16.5), ER_10 0.67 but ER_30 0.14, choppiness 39, Hurst 0.20 (strongly mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a higher-TF bull structure that just took a sharp downside hit; RV at 100th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum is decisively down (net -5.4% 4h, -3.0% 12h, -3.9% 24h), z-score -1.9, RSI oversold on 5m/15m (15/25) and stretched on 1h (30.7) — but Hurst 0.20 says this move mean-reverts, and OI is accelerating_up (+10.4% recent half, oi_z +1.28) with top-traders long 1.64 pos ratio and rising, sitting at the 5d/20d low (+0.00%) — a bounce setup. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongly mean-reverting Hurst 0.20 + deeply oversold multi-TF RSI + z -1.9 + fresh accumulation (OI accelerating up, top-traders adding longs) at the 5d/20d low argues for a reversion long, aligned with the intact 1h/4h bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: silver spot (XAG) itself is down -3.45% and if the macro sell continues price breaks the local low and the mean-reversion fails. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 60.5754; stop 59.42 below the fresh 5d/20d low (invalidation of the bounce), ~1.9% risk ≈ 0.5x rv-informed range on an oversold snap; TP1 61.90 stretch at the reversion toward the 12h VWAP zone, ~2.2% reward, R:R ~1.15, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold snaps on this asset have modest hit given persistent macro drag; p_tp1 43, p_sl 39, p_expire 18.
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