SLVONUSD long — 3 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 61.3487 and stopped out at 60.42 after 12.7 hours, closing at -1.51%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-03 15:18 |
| Entry | 61.3487 |
| Stop-loss | 60.42 |
| Take-profit 1 | 62.1715 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 62.72 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.48 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 60.42 |
| Realized P&L | -1.51% |
| Time open | 12.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed (5m/15m bull-aligned, 1h/4h mixed), 1h ADX 49.7 rising (slope +2.26) but choppiness 61.2 (range-bound), ER_10 0.36 / ER_30 0.44 (soft cleanliness), Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm tape with a strong recent bull impulse (net +3.79% 24h, +2.37% 4h) but overbought and stalling at the 5d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest bull lean — fresh 4h/24h momentum, silver spot XAG +3.79% 24h and silver ETF +1.59% 1d confirm the underlying, top-trader account ratio 3.71 heavily long. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: silver-spot tailwind + momentum — XAGUSDT +3.79% and gold +2.4% today with SLVON riding the same macro precious-metals bid, cross-corr to PAXG/XAUT ~0.71; the trend-aligned side is long. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits AT the 5d high (dist +0.000%) with 1h RSI 71.6 overbought, OI falling hard (oi_5m_z -2.13, accelerating_down) and taker ratio 0.86 (sellers) — a failed breakout / momentum exhaustion would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 61.3487; stop below the intraday reclaim shelf at 60.42 (~1.52% risk, within the ~3.7% 24h range / atr context); stretch target 62.72 (~2.24% up, ~1.47x risk, inside clamps) at the next structural extension above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought at highs with fading OI caps upside conviction, so a wide expire band is honest.
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